Inflation & Macro
Interest rates, deficits, the dollar, and everything else that keeps investors up at night.
When the headlines get scary, these are the episodes to return to. Peter and his guests put inflation, recessions, the national debt, and reserve currency status into long-term context.
- 1Ep. 8Aug 11, 2021
Investing For Inflation
Inflation has been dominating the headlines for a few months now. With the risk of higher inflation on the way, one might wonder how to invest in such a scenario. After all, growing your hard-earned savings at a rate greater than inflation is the primary reason to be an investor.
- 2Ep. 17Oct 13, 2021
Debt Ceiling Debacle and the Growing U.S. National Debt
The national debt is always a hot topic, particularly when the country bumps up against the debt ceiling.
- 3Ep. 29Jan 4, 2022
Investing at All-Time Highs, Hedging Inflation, and Target Date Funds
Peter answers your questions in his latest mailbag episode.
- 4Ep. 31Jan 18, 2022
Investing For Inflation, Cryptocurrency, and Advisor Fees
Peter answers questions he received while presenting to major U.S. corporations.
- 5Ep. 35Feb 16, 2022
7 Reasons I’m Not Worried About Inflation
U.S. inflation accelerated to 7.5% over the last 12 months. You don’t need to be an economist to realize that this headline number is a big deal for Wall Street and Main Street.
- 6Ep. 158Jun 26, 2024
Will The US National Debt Cause Problems Soon?
Today, we’re exploring a significant and often misunderstood topic: the US national debt. With the current debt sitting at about $34.6 trillion as of this recording, many wonder if this signals an impending crisis. Let’s break down what this figure means and explore the broader implications.
- 7Ep. 159Jul 3, 2024
The Sustainability Of Social Security And What It Means For You
This week we are going to talk about Social Security in a way that builds on our previous two episodes. In Episode 157: Why the US Dollar Rules the World, we discussed what it means to be a reserve currency, why the US dollar holds its dominant reserve currency position, and the likelihood of the US dollar losing that status.
- 8Ep. 192Feb 19, 2025
2025 Market Forecasts, Interest Rates, and Economic Risks With Dr. David Kelly
Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, is one of the most respected voices in macroeconomic forecasting. His work is a go-to resource for professionals in the financial industry, helping investors make sense of market trends, policy shifts, and economic cycles.
- 9Ep. 197Mar 26, 2025
Should You Worry About a Recession? What Investors Need to Know in 2025
As the first quarter draws near to a close, sentiment about markets and the economy has changed markedly as investors digest the diverging fortunes of national economies, shifting policy landscapes, and the rapid pace of technological change.
- 10Ep. 213Jul 16, 2025
Why Is the U.S. Dollar Declining—and What Does It Mean for Investors?
One of the standout investment stories in 2025 has been the strong performance of non-U.S. equities. Specifically, the MSCI ACWI ex-US has generated an impressive total U.S. dollar return of 19%, consisting of a 9.7% local return and an 8.4% currency gain—clearly reflecting a significant decline in the U.S. dollar.
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